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2016年市场上有多少集装箱船?


Apr 08 2016

导读:2016年全球集装箱船容量预计增长仅4.6%,仅有少量新增船只及部分新增报废船只。

  2016年的集装箱船队注定发展缓慢。

  Alphaliner称,2016年全球集装箱船容量预计增长仅4.6%,仅有少量新增船只及部分新增报废船只。总的来说,船只交付速度缓慢和报废出售船只数量增加,这可能会抑制2016年船队净增长,致使其标称容量小于1 Mteu。

  根据百分比计算,今年将成为全球集装箱船队增速最缓的一年。跌破2009年同期的5.5%的增速,复合年均增长率将远低于1990年的10.3%。

  调整潜在延期后,今年船舶运输量预计达1.23Mteu,而2015年的运输量记录为1.72Mteu。

  悲观的分析认为如果今年市场需求的疲软现象持续存在,该数据可能更低。这是因持续的需求放缓可能促使运输方延期交付船舶订单,而少量的陷入经济问题的订单可能会被彻底取消。

  由于需求减少可能会迫使船公司减少对旧船舶的使用,发生过事故剐蹭或有可能发生其它事故的船舶召回量预计达到35000teu。

  2015年12月,报废出售的船只数量激增,15艘51000teu船在一个月内售出。这些船只超过总报废量192000teu的四分之一。

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